Texas A&M study concludes ethanol production drop will not lower corn prices; says oil, speculation driving prices

Researchers from Texas A&M University have concluded that eliminating the Renewable Fuel Standard “does not result in significantly lower corn prices,” and that “The underlying force driving changes in the agricultural industry, along with the economy as a whole, is overall higher energy costs, evidenced by $100 per barrel oil.”

The report said that, in addition, speculative investment in the commodities futures markets were leading to price volatility, and “the loss of the ability to use futures markets for price risk management due to the inability to finance margin requirements.” Commenting on the report, National Corn Growers Association president Ron Litterer said “The Texas A&M study dispels the food vs. fuel debate. This study shows there are many forces creating increases in food costs and ethanol is not a major factor.”

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