German researchers complete biomass scenarios for 2030 and 2050

In Germany, what is the optimal role of limited biomass in the national energy transition and what are the priority target markets for bioenergy sources? These questions were addressed by a team of researchers from the German Biomass Research Centre (DBFZ) and the Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ) in the successfully completed research project “SoBio – Scenarios of optimal biomass use for energy by 2030 and by 2050”.

In the “SoBio” project realised jointly with the Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), the Leipzig research team modelled a total of 111 different bioenergy options for the first time in great detail in scenarios. Bioenergy options were considered to cover the residual load and to balance out the fluctuating renewable energies in electricity generation. In addition, bioenergy technologies can be used in the heating sector to cover the energy demand in the three sectors of industry (low, medium and high temperature), buildings (private households, commerce and trade) and district heating. In the transport sector, biofuels also serve as a fulfilment option in the six sub-sectors of road/passenger transport, commercial vehicles, aviation, rail, inland waterways and overseas vessels.

According to the BENOPT model used, in the heat sector the largest amount of biomass is used in the form of wood chips from wood residues and miscanthus for high-temperature industrial applications. In the electricity sector, the use of biogas from domestic fermentable residues and waste or maize, as well as smaller amounts of waste wood in waste wood-fired CHP plants to flexibly meet the demand for residual load, is the most cost-effective option in the long term. In the transport sector, road and rail transport should be electrified at optimal cost. In the long term, biomass will thus be used as biokerosene in air traffic and as liquefied biomethane in shipping.